Israel and the Iran Deal Pullout- 45th Upends Middle Eastern Balance.

Trump ruins all he touches.

Donald Trump has dealt a severe blow to the global order with his decision to pull the United States out of the Iranian nuclear agreement, causing a major rift with European allies and raising tensions in the Middle East.

Concerns are growing daily that the recent decisions made by Donald Trump will do much to destabilize a region that has long been unstable anyway.

Israel and Iran, both of whom seemed emboldened in the face of the new situation, fired missiles at each other Wednesday across the Syrian border. They followed up with bristling threats in a steep escalation of tensions.

In days, we’re set to make the Israeli embassy move from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, something other US presidents have held off on, due to their reasonable belief that it would not help us keep the peace down there.

The merits and flaws of the embassy move itself are not our points of focus here. It’s a separate issue.

We’d like to give our best wishes to the people of Israel and Iran, and all other people, for that matter. If everybody there is cool with the embassy being in Jerusalem, then we’re happy for them. But that doesn’t seem to be the case.

Our issue is the haphazard and ill-thought out manner in which the current executive administration made this decision. There is no sign at all that Trump fully understands just how serious his decisions have become. He’s not a reality TV star anymore.

We have also seen this recently in North Korea, as Trump boasts of his ability to “bring the North Koreans to the table”. The North Koreans bring themselves to the table, every time they need a few bucks. But Trump doesn’t get it. He seems to really think that Kim is giving up his nukes.

Kim is never giving up his nukes, of course, and neither will anybody else who manages to get them, now that they’ve seen how Trump reneged on the nuclear arrangement we had with Iran. What a mess. It’s been quite a while since Iranians were burning American flags in the streets, and screaming “Death to America!” But they sure are doing it now.

Former Mideast negotiator Dennis Ross, speaking on NPR, said Trump’s decision to abrogate the terms of the nuclear deal is likely spurring Iran to show the US that it will pay a price, which most likely led to the missile launches Wednesday.

Dr. Alina Polyakova of the Atlantic Council gave a talk on the world order last year, in which she illustrated its fracture points, meaning geographical locations that constitute stressors upon it. Ukraine was one, Syria was another. We can now add Iran and Israel to that list.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Europe could no longer depend on the United States, comments that were echoed by French President Emmanuel Macron. Both leaders had made eleventh-hour trips to Washington to try and talk Trump out of the leaving the Iran pact.

“It’s another blow to the trans-Atlantic alliance,” said Sen. Bob Menendez(D-N.J.), ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. “The Europeans don’t know what to make anymore about how strong and how deep our alliance is with them. And we need them. We critically need them to achieve many of our goals, both as it relates to Iran and other things.”

Everyone in the world seems to get this, except for our 45th president.

Perhaps the situation was summed up worst by the National Security Council’s senior director for strategic assessment, Victoria Coates.

“I think it shows you that the President is absolutely doing the right thing here,” Coates said to reporters during a press conference held Friday. “It is not upsetting any regional balance; in fact, his leadership is what’s bringing the region together.”

Good thing Iran doesn’t have any nukes. In a few years, though, hold on to your hats.

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North Korean Nukes- 45th Boasts Of Imaginary Deal.

#NeverTrump

As North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and the United States President Donald Trump prepare to meet, the world is feeling the tension. It is not clear that either of the two fully understands what is at stake.

Trump went around last month tweeting that North Korea had agreed to denuclearization. “Meeting went very smoothly and a good relationship was formed…Denuclearization will be a great thing for World, but also for North Korea!”

“We should all root for a diplomatic solution to the decades’ long North Korean conflict,” Chuck Schumer said April 18 on the Senate floor. “That’s why the United States should pursue a diplomatic opening, including through direct diplomacy with Pyongyang. But thus far we’ve not seen any indication that North Korea is willing to take concrete measures towards denuclearization.”

Nor will we, in the opinion of this Millennial Democrats contributor.

The only place that smooth meeting happened was in Trump’s mind. North Korea agreed to no such thing. They talked about it. That’s all. A conversation is a long way from a signed agreement.

For decades, the international community has tried to stop North Korea’s nuclear weapon and missile development. It has failed. The thought of Trump pulling it off is absurd.

Kim is never giving up his nukes. He will nuke himself before he gives up his nukes. He nuked his own backyard and ruined the mountain above the facility where he makes his nukes, rather than stop testing.

Nuclear weapons are the one sure insurance plan that a small power can have against a great one. The world was watching when George W. Bush kicked down the door of Saddam Hussein’s palace.

Kim knows we’ll do the same to him anytime we get a chance. He’ll never let that happen.

In related news, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo flew home from North Korea yesterday with three U.S. citizens who had been detained there. We welcome them home and are grateful for their safety; Kim snatched them under dubious circumstances and gave them back like bargaining chips.

To the unpleasant occupant of the Oval Office, who has been going around boasting that he’s cut the big deal of a lifetime, that must pass for a denuclearization agreement.

“People never thought you were going to have a situation where we’re having serious and positive communications with North Korea. And we are,” Donald Trump told reporters yesterday morning.

On the contrary, this has been tried again and again. We have engaged in on-and-off nuclear negotiations with North Korea since the end of the Cold War. They failed to prevent Pyongyang from developing nuclear weapons. We have not established diplomatic relations, and a peace treaty ending the Korean War has not been signed.

We did have a serious, positive denuclearization deal with Iran, though. Trump scuttled it earlier this month. So much for bargaining skill.

Kim gave those people back because it put on a good show. His goal here is to get us to relieve the sanctions that are crippling his economy again for a while. His father did the same to Bill Clinton and to George W. Bush after him. It is not the brilliance of Trump diplomacy that has suddenly brought them to the table.

This reticent and peculiar country has promised disarmament more than once, only to backtrack on its commitments. It has duped multiple U.S. presidential administrations, each of which has passed the North Korea problem onto the next.

That pattern is likely being repeated.

Going forward, the usual task of raising awareness will fall on us, since conservative talk radio is already gloating and spinning this up as a Trump win. Regardless of his boasting, Trump did not accomplish anything here. He’s spinning his wheels like every single other American president has done.

The difference is that during the tenure of past presidents, North Korea did not have the hydrogen bomb. Those presidents were not maniacs, hanging around on Twitter deriding the size of the North Korean leader’s buttons and calling him Little Rocket Man.

It’s a complex situation, and a lot of different things might happen, but at least one thing is for sure. If anything good does happen here, it won’t be the fault of Donald Trump.

The 25th Amendment- A Nuclear Moron and a Presidential Sanity Clause.

The 25th Amendment. Honestly, how many of us even knew what it was, twelve months ago? One person who didn’t is writing this article. But since then, a lot of things have changed.

What it is, is a type of political ripcord regarding the position of chief executive. A ripcord is what you pull to release a parachute, your last hope to not die if you’re in a plane that’s going to crash. Hopefully by now this metaphor requires no explanation. At any rate, the amendment allows for the removal of a President in the case of his being unfit to serve, for any reason.

Its purpose is to provide a failsafe, a legal mechanism outlining a process for the chief executive to be legally  stripped of power and removed from office. This would require a vote by 13 Cabinet members and the Vice-President. Basically, it means there is hope beyond Russiagate, for getting out of all of this alive and before 2020.

People have been talking about this for a while now, but lately it’s been catching a lot of attention. Bob Corker, Tennessee’s junior senator, recently said in a New York Times interview that the White House is like an adult daycare center and that Trump could lead the country into World War III.

That statement resonated in hearts worldwide. Bipartisan support has exploded for Corker, who joins a growing number of Congressional Republicans in deciding not to seek reelection. Since announcing his retirement, Corker has spoken his mind thoroughly about the large orange infant stinking up the White House. It’s too bad more of the Republicans won’t join him. Long-time columnist Frank Rich recently referred to it as “the disgrace of Republican silence“. Well said.

On Monday, CNN host Michael Smerconish said Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) is “planting seeds” to call into question President Trump’s fitness for office.

“I’m thinking of the 25th Amendment, Section Four, which speaks to a president who’s unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office,” Smerconish said on CNN.

Several White House officials on Wednesday denied an NBC News report, that Trump said we needed 10 times the nuclear weapons we currently possess. This increase in the nuclear arsenal was proposed during the heated meeting that ultimately led to Secretary of State Rex Tillerson referring to the President as a “moron.”

Of course they denied it. What else are they going to do? Just come stark, and flat out say it’s true? Yes, the Secretary of State has indeed told the truth, and called our President the moron a moron?

Speaking in the Oval Office on Wednesday, Trump called the nuclear moron report “fake news.”

“I never discussed it,” Trump said ahead of talks with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. “Right now we have so many nuclear weapons. I want them in perfect condition, perfect shape.”

“When they said I want 10 times what we have right now, it’s totally unnecessary, believe me,” Trump continued. “It’s got to be in tip-top shape.”

Trump denied a rift has developed between himself and Tillerson.

“We actually have a very good relationship,” he said, going on to concede that his views on North Korea do differ from those of his top diplomat.

“I think I have a little bit different attitude on North Korea than other people might have. And I listen to everybody,” he said. “But ultimately my attitude is the one that matters, isn’t it? That’s the way it works.”

Well, maybe not.

Former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon has been telling people he thinks Trump has about a 30% chance of completing his four-year term.

Wednesday on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” host Joe Scarborough urged Republican senators need to “take immediate action” to limit President Donald Trump’s “ability to launch nuclear weapons. Criticism of Trump from Morning Joe is far from unexpected, of course. What was unexpected, is that the article was done by Breitbart News.

The situation at the White House has only gotten worse since Bannon crunched his number. Trump’s moods have grown even darker. There is verification that the President wanted to up the US nuclear arsenal tenfold. It was this suggestion that prompted Tillerson to call the President a moron.

Earlier this month Trump publicly said Tillerson was wasting his time, trying to open talks with North Korea. It is the opinion of Millennial Democrats that no other sane option exists. Any military solution would cause the death of millions and involve nuclear weapons for a certainty. This is a no-brainer.

A sane and competent president would ask his secretary of state to try and start some talks with Kim. Nixon was not a big fan of North Vietnam; he dropped more bombs on it in his first week of reelection than all the bombs in World War Two combined. But he still sent Henry Kissinger to bargain with Le Duc Tho, Hanoi’s equivalent.

There is also the Iran issue. Trump is on the verge of scrapping the nuclear agreement we have with them, for reasons that remain unclear. Acting on such a concept would be inane beyond verbal description.

The downside would be that if we did back out of the deal, Iran would not give us our money back, and would start back up with their nuclear weapons program. The upside, at least in the mind of Trump, is that it would help him negate the legacy of Barack Obama. Robert Reich said in a letter to Rex Tillerson that Trump’s narcissism is endangering the world.

The last hope of the Republicans for getting something done with Donald Trump’s presidency is John Kelly, the retired Marine general serving as Trump’s second chief of staff. Kelly has managed to tighten up the flow of information and visitors to the president, bringing order to an unruly White House.

On days that Trump feels like taking orders from his betters, It all works like something resembling a viable White House. Increasingly often, however, he does not. Reports of screaming matches between the two have become increasingly common.

We’ve been here before, plenty of times. Trump melts down, others put him back together, and the lurching golem that is this abortive presidency slouches on for a few more miles. But we’re reaching the point of getting low on people to attend the repairs.

Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi were having good luck for a while, talking sense into him on the DACA deal, but Sean Hannity overruled them. Hannity pointed out that Trump’s base wants him tough on immigration. Trump went with Hannity.

So, on Sunday, Trump presented the Democrats with a list of demands that effectively scuttled the new bargain. It would have assured our Dreamers a path to legal citizenship, but that was not as important as appeasing his alt-right base. So here we are again. Mired in the mud and spinning our wheels.

The 45th president of America’s foolishness and incompetence will be legend throughout all of time. It will almost certainly lead to a career-ending blunder even if Robert Mueller does not have enough to bring charges.

If the Fates should prove cruel, and deny us justice with regard to an impeachment,we do have the 25th Amendment as a last hope to fall back on. If such a vote among the Cabinet ever does come to pass, Rex Tillerson, for one, has got to be inclined to cast his vote in the direction that gets rid of Trump. It’s the only rational choice.